Ryan Sims insights, thoughts, and analysis

Tag: economy

  • Over Inflated?

    Here we sit just 6 weeks into 2025, and I think we can safely throw out the 2025 bingo cards. Pretty much everything you didn’t think could happen has happened, and life has thrown in a couple extra events for good measure. It wasn’t all that long ago that everyone knew, they just knew that…

  • A Slight Adjustment

    ” There are lies, there are damn lies, and there are statistics ” – Mark Twain “Statistics are like bikinis – what they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital.”  – author unknown Yesterday was the release of both the Canadian and the US employment reports. Now, be warned, if you don’t want…

  • Spicy!!!

    While the past 48 hours has pretty much brought out the absolute worst on both sides of the 49th parallel, and it seems that emotions are running high, hot and spicy, let’s spend some time on what it means. I am not going to get into a back and forth on tariffs – there is…

  • Details Matter

    There have been a lot of numbers come out over the last few days, and while I see a lot of people celebrating, I think a lot of the celebrations are a bit mis placed. Let’s look at some great examples:

  • DeepSeek Causes Deep Shit

    What a way to start a week off!!! Wowsers, is it about to get interesting. After all the crap yesterday between the US and Columbia, I thought it would be pretty hard to top all of that – but that took a back seat to the overnight announcement from China. Let’s take a Deep Dive…

  • Spikes, Nails, and Sharp Objects

    This morning we all saw the release of the Canadian and US jobs reports, and WOW, were they a blowout. It has been a long time since I have seen employment reports those nice!! Almost every metric hit the marks – jobs were full time instead of part time, employment was in the private sector,…

  • Form Here to There and Back Again

    Predictions have always been a fools game, but a game none the less that I like to play. With that in mind, below are my predictions on what I think 2025 has in store. Some of these are housing related, but most are basic economic predictions – but since so much of Canada’s economy is…

  • Blow It All Up

    I thought it would be really hard to top Monday’s Parliamentary shit show, but it looks like I was wrong. Today at 2:00 pm the US Federal Reserve met, and boy oh boy, did shit get real – real fast. As part of the Fed meetings, the minutes are released along with the statement, and…

  • 1994

    It was 30 years ago, 1994. 30 years seems like a long time, doesn’t it? Pre internet mass adoption, pre cell phone, and pre apps. Some might think I made a typo and meant to type 1984, but it is 1994 I really want to point out. It should come as no surprise that Canada…

  • Fri Yay

    Tomorrow is probably the most important day – central bank wise at least for the remainder of 2025. Tomorrow morning we will get some employment reports out of Canada and the US that will likely help determine where overnight rates go at the next meeting for the BOC and The Fed. I bet we see…